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Denis Shapovalov vs. Marin Cilic prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Shapovalov vs Cilic predictions for 2026 Australian Open.

Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic Tennis Prediction.
Our Denis Shapovalov and Marin Cilic tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Denis Shapovalov will square off with Marin Cilic in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Denis Shapovalov as the most likely winner of the Shapovalov vs. Cilic match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Shapovalov vs. Cilic prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Shapovalov-Cilic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Shapovalov a 56% chance of winning against Cilic in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Shapovalov has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shapovalov (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 40.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

 

Denis Shapovalov vs. Marin Cilic odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Shapovalov Cilic
Moneyline -142 +122
First Set -139 +110
Game Spread -1.5 (-122) +1.5 (-110)
Total Games o40.5 (-120) u40.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Shapovalov vs. Cilic picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Cilic +122
First Set Cilic -120

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Marin Cilic to win the first set.

Shapovalov vs. Cilic updates and essential details

The 2026 Australian Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Marin Cilic is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 1:30 AM ET.

  • Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Marin Cilic
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 1:30 AM ET/10:30PM PT
  • Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
  • Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Marin Cilic at the 2026 Australian Open.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Shapovalov vs. Cilic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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