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Read Article D.C. United vs. St Louis City prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get D.C. United vs St Louis City predictions for MLS Saturday.
D.C. United and St Louis City are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Audi Field on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model projects D.C. United as the most likely winner of the D.C. United vs. St Louis City game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
D.C. United vs. St Louis City prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between D.C. United and St Louis City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 44.6% chance of D.C. United winning, a 30.4% chance for St Louis City, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
D.C. United vs. St Louis City odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| D.C. United | St Louis City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +115 | +225 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
D.C. United vs. St Louis City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St Louis City | +225 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +105 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is St Louis City to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
D.C. United vs. St Louis City: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DCU 1-1 STL | 11.9% |
| DCU 1-0 STL | 9.6% |
| DCU 2-1 STL | 9.1% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
D.C. United vs. St Louis City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between D.C. United and St Louis City in MLS at Audi Field is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: D.C. United vs. St Louis City
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Audi Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, D.C. United has a 44.6% win probability on Saturday, St Louis City has a 30.4% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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