Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner prediction, odds, picks for ATP Indian Wells Open 2026

Daniil Medvedev will square off with Jannik Sinner in the final at the ATP Indian Wells event on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. Sinner match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Medvedev vs. Sinner prediction: Who will win the final?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Medvedev-Sinner men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Sinner a 75% chance of beating Medvedev at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

Additionally, Sinner has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sinner (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Medvedev vs. Sinner picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: