Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Daniil Medvedev will square off with Fabian Marozsan in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. Marozsan match.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Medvedev vs. Marozsan prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Medvedev-Marozsan men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Medvedev a 59% chance of defeating Marozsan at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Medvedev has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Medvedev vs. Marozsan picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: