Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Altmaier vs Cerundolo predictions for ATP Madrid Open.

Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Cerundolo Tennis Prediction.
Our Daniel Altmaier and Juan Cerundolo tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Daniel Altmaier and Juan Manuel Cerundolo are scheduled to meet in the round of 128 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Juan Cerundolo as the most likely winner of the Altmaier vs. Cerundolo match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Altmaier vs. Cerundolo prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Altmaier-Cerundolo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Cerundolo a 56% chance of winning against Altmaier at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Cerundolo has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cerundolo (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Altmaier Cerundolo
Moneyline +130 -144
First Set +120 -152
Game Spread +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-120)
Total Games o22.5 (-120) u22.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Altmaier vs. Cerundolo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Altmaier +130
First Set Cerundolo -120

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniel Altmaier to win.

Although Altmaier is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Altmaier vs. Cerundolo updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Daniel Altmaier and Juan Manuel Cerundolo is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 11:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo
  • Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Juan Cerundolo, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Altmaier at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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