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Stars vs. Wild prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Game 4 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Minnesota Wild will square off with the Dallas Stars in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at Grand Casino Arena on Saturday, starting at 5:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Wild a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Stars Game 4 matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Stars vs. Wild matchup, including best bets and picks.
Stars vs. Wild prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Stars and Wild, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Wild a 54% chance of beating the Stars in Game 4 of the series.
According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Stars vs. Wild Game 4 odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-210) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +118 | -135 |
| Total | o5.5 (+110) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Wild picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Stars +1.5 | -210 |
| Moneyline | Stars | +118 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Stars vs. Wild Game 4 updates and essential details
Saturday's Game 4 between the Wild and Stars in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 5:30 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 5:30 PM ET/2:30PM PT
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Stars and Wild, made the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Wild, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Stars in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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