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Mavericks vs. Raptors prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Toronto Raptors and Dallas Mavericks will lock horns in NBA action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Raptors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature stars like Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett, while the Mavericks will look to Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and P.J. Washington.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Raptors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Raptors a 76% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 120-112.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+9.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Raptors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-102) | -9.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +310 | -390 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Raptors picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +9.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -390 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +9.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Raptors player props
Betting on Dallas vs. Toronto NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 19 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 37 |
| Naji Marshall | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| B. Williams | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Max Christie | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| Scottie Barnes | 20 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 47 |
| RJ Barrett | 19 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| I. Quickley | 19 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 39 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
Mavs vs. Raptors game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Raptors and Mavericks at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Sunday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Raptors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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