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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sharks prediction: Sharks favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 10 matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sharks predictions for NRL Saturday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs will square off with the Cronulla Sharks in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Stadium Australia on Saturday, starting at 3:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Sharks as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Sharks prediction: Who will win Round 10 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NRL game between the Sharks and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Sharks a 67% chance of defeating the Rabbitohs.
According to our model, the Sharks (-4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
Sharks vs. Souths odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sharks | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -179 | +138 |
| Line (Spread) | -4.5 (-115) | +4.5 (-115) |
| Total | o53.5 (-115) | u53.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sharks vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sharks -4.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Sharks | bet_rivers_in-179 |
| Total | Under 53.5 | -110 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 53.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Sharks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Rabbitohs and Sharks at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: Cronulla Sharks vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Sharks, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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