Jun 6, 2026
Argentina vs. Algeria prediction refreshed after 2026 World Cup squads revealed
Read Article England vs. Croatia prediction revised following 2026 World Cup roster releases
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming Croatia vs England FIFA World Cup game.
Following the official squad announcements for both nations, our experts have generated the updated win probabilities and betting picks for the Group L match between Croatia and England at AT&T Stadium on Wednesday, June 17.
Dimers Pro users have access to the updated analysis below, where we build on our early Croatia-England predictions to detail the latest projections and betting picks, and have a complete look at the official player lists for both teams.
Official World Cup squads: England and Croatia
Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:
England
Goalkeepers: Jordan Pickford (Everton), Dean Henderson (Crystal Palace), James Trafford (Manchester City)
Defenders: Reece James (Chelsea), Ezri Konsa (Aston Villa), Jarell Quansah (Bayer Leverkusen), John Stones (Manchester City), Marc Guéhi (Manchester City), Dan Burn (Newcastle United), Nico O'Reilly (Manchester City), Djed Spence (Tottenham Hotspur), Tino Livramento (Newcastle United)
Midfielders: Declan Rice (Arsenal), Elliot Anderson (Nottingham Forest), Kobbie Mainoo (Manchester United), Jordan Henderson (Brentford), Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa), Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid), Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)
Forwards: Harry Kane (Bayern Munich), Ivan Toney (Al-Ahli), Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa), Bukayo Saka (Arsenal), Marcus Rashford (Manchester United), Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United), Noni Madueke (Arsenal)
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
Croatia
Goalkeepers: Dominik Livakovic (Dinamo Zagreb), Dominik Kotarski (Kobenhavn), Ivor Pandur (Hull City)
Defenders: Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City), Duje Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad), Josip Sutalo (Ajax), Josip Stanisic (Bayern Munich), Marin Pongracic (Fiorentina), Martin Erlic (Midtjylland), Luka Vuskovic (Hamburg)
Midfielders: Luka Modric (AC Milan), Mateo Kovacic (Manchester City), Mario Pasalic (Atalanta), Nikola Vlasic (Torino), Luka Sucic (Real Sociedad), Martin Baturina (Como), Kristijan Jakic (Augsburg), Petar Sucic (Inter Milan), Nikola Moro (Bologna), Toni Fruk (Rijeka)
Forwards: Ivan Perisic (PSV Eindhoven), Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim), Ante Budimir (Osasuna), Marco Pasalic (Orlando City), Petar Musa (FC Dallas), Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)
Manager: Zlatko Dalic
Updated England vs. Croatia predictions and picks including +390 play
Leveraging our latest data and the above roster updates, we have re-run the numbers on this matchup. Here are the modified predictions:
- Win probabilities: England 56.3%, Croatia 19.2%, Draw 24.5%
- Both teams to score: Yes 46.2%, No 53.8%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 45.5%, Under 54.5%
- Win to nil: England 34.5%, Croatia 11.0%
- Double chance (win or draw): England 80.8%, Croatia 43.7%
- Most likely final score: 1-0 England win (13.6%)
These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for England and Croatia.
England vs. Croatia picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Croatia | +390 |
| Total | Under 2.5 | -125 |
We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge here being on Under 2.5 total goals.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge on Croatia's odds provides the best long-term value right now.
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Croatia vs. England World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between England and Croatia is scheduled for June 17, 2026, with the two teams starting their tournaments in what is set to be the most-viewed World Cup ever.
- Teams: England vs. Croatia
- Tournament stage: Group L
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Conclusion: England vs. Croatia prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that ** to win** is the most likely outcome, followed by to win, with to win as the least likely result.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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