Croatia vs. England 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get early predictions for the upcoming Croatia vs England FIFA World Cup game.

England-Croatia Early Predictions and Betting Preview.
AT&T Stadium sets the stage for the World Cup group stage matchup between England and Croatia on Wednesday, June 17, 2026.

Croatia and England will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at AT&T Stadium on Wednesday, June 17.

The Group L matchup features Croatia, third in 2022 and runners-up in 2018, against England, the 1966 champions who qualified for this year's tournament with a 100% win record.

With 92 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors England to win.

For full coverage, see our interactive England vs. Croatia page and World Cup predictions hub.

Croatia vs. England early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Croatia vs. England game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

  • Win probabilities: Croatia 19.1%, Draw 23.4%, England 57.4%
  • Total goals (2.5): Over 49%, Under 51%
  • Both teams to score: Yes 49%, No 51%
  • Most likely final score: England 1-0 Croatia (12.4%)

As of March 17, 2026, these England-Croatia figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

 

Croatia vs. England World Cup details

The FIFA World Cup matchup between England and Croatia is scheduled for June 17, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their campaigns in what is going to be the largest World Cup in history.

  • Teams: England vs. Croatia
  • Tournament stage: Group L
  • Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium
  • Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?

Croatia vs. England latest odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group L game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Croatia +410, England -145, Draw +300
  • Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110)

Odds subject to change as the game draws nearer.

England vs. Croatia picks and best bet

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Croatia +410
Total Goals Under 2.5 -110

We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Croatia to win.

 

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Croatia's odds provide the best long-term value right now.

England vs. Croatia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 England win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
England 1-0 Croatia 12.4%
England 1-1 Croatia 11.1%
England 2-0 Croatia 10.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.0% chance of both England and Croatia finding the net and a 51.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Conclusion: England vs. Croatia prediction

Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that England to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Croatia to win as the least likely result..

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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