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Croatia vs. England 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Croatia vs England FIFA World Cup game.
Croatia and England will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at AT&T Stadium on Wednesday, June 17.
The Group L matchup features Croatia, third in 2022 and runners-up in 2018, against England, the 1966 champions who qualified for this year's tournament with a 100% win record.
With 103 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors England to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive England vs. Croatia page and World Cup predictions hub.
Croatia vs. England early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Croatia vs. England game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Croatia 18.6%, Draw 22.8%, England 58.5%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 51%, Under 49%
- Both teams to score: Yes 50%, No 50%
- Most likely final score: England 1-0 Croatia (12%)
As of March 6, 2026, these England-Croatia figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Croatia vs. England World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between England and Croatia is scheduled for June 17, 2026, with the two teams starting their tournaments in what is looking to be the biggest ever World Cup.
- Teams: England vs. Croatia
- Tournament stage: Group L
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Croatia vs. England latest odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group L game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Croatia +440, England -135, Draw +280
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-106/-116)
Odds subject to change as the tournament draws nearer.
England vs. Croatia picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | England | -135 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -106 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on England to win.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on England's odds also provide the best value for bettors.
England vs. Croatia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 England win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| England 1-0 Croatia | 12% |
| England 1-1 Croatia | 10.9% |
| England 2-0 Croatia | 10.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: England vs. Croatia prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that England to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Croatia to win as the least likely result..
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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