Cristian Garin vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Cristian Garin and Luciano Darderi are scheduled to meet in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Monday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Luciano Darderi as the most likely winner of the Garin vs. Darderi match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Garin vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Garin-Darderi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Darderi a 64% chance of beating Garin in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Darderi has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Garin (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Cristian Garin vs. Luciano Darderi odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Garin vs. Darderi picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: