Rockies vs. Pirates prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/14/2026]
Get Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Thursday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies will meet in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, starting at 12:35 PM ET.
Mason Montgomery (1-0, 2.87 ERA) will start for the Pirates, while the Rockies will counter with Chase Dollander (3-2, 3.35 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Pirates as the most likely winner of the Rockies vs. Pirates game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rockies vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Pirates a 61% chance of defeating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Rockies vs. Pirates odds [5/14/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockies | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-144) | -1.5 (+126) |
| Moneyline | +148 | -170 |
| Total | o8 (-103) | u8 (-126) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockies vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Pirates -1.5 | +126 |
| Moneyline | Rockies | +148 |
| Total | Over 8 | -103 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockies vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB action between the Pirates and Rockies at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 12:35 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 12:35 PM ET/9:35AM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



