Rockies vs. Pirates prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/14/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Thursday.

Colorado Rockies-Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions and Game Preview.
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB prediction for Thursday, May 14, 2026.

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies will meet in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, starting at 12:35 PM ET.

Mason Montgomery (1-0, 2.87 ERA) will start for the Pirates, while the Rockies will counter with Chase Dollander (3-2, 3.35 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Pirates as the most likely winner of the Rockies vs. Pirates game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Rockies vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Rockies and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Pirates a 61% chance of defeating the Rockies.

According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Rockies vs. Pirates odds [5/14/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rockies Pirates
Run Line +1.5 (-144) -1.5 (+126)
Moneyline +148 -170
Total o8 (-103) u8 (-126)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rockies vs. Pirates picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Pirates -1.5 +126
Moneyline Rockies +148
Total Over 8 -103

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Rockies vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB action between the Pirates and Rockies at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 12:35 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Pirates, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Thursday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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