Avalanche vs. Kings prediction: Colorado favored to win Game 4 [2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Colorado Avalanche vs Los Angeles Kings predictions for NHL Sunday.

Colorado Avalanche-Los Angeles Kings Predictions and Game Preview.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Los Angeles Kings NHL prediction for Game 4 of the series.

The Los Angeles Kings will take on the Colorado Avalanche in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, starting at 4:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Kings Game 4 matchup.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Avs vs. Kings prediction: Who will win Game 4?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Avalanche and Kings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 60% chance of beating the Kings in Game 4 of the series.

According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Avalanche vs. Kings Game 4 odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Avalanche Kings
Puck Line -1.5 (+145) +1.5 (-160)
Moneyline -172 +150
Total o5.5 (-118) u5.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Avalanche vs. Kings picks and best bet for Game 4

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Kings +1.5 -160
Moneyline Kings +150
Total Under 5.5 +102

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kings +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Avalanche vs. Kings player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Kings?

According to our model, Adrian Kempe is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Kings.

Our projections give Kempe a 33.7% chance of scoring a goal at Crypto.com Arena, while the star is a 7.1% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Martin Necas 30.6%
Nathan MacKinnon 30.5%
Gabriel Landeskog 27.0%
Artturi Lehkonen 24.2%
Valeri Nichushkin 22.9%

Los Angeles Kings

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Adrian Kempe 33.7%
Artemi Panarin 31.0%
Quinton Byfield 27.4%
Alex Laferriere 26.6%
Trevor Moore 20.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

Player First Goal Probability
Martin Necas 6.8%
Nathan MacKinnon 5.7%
Gabriel Landeskog 4.8%
Artturi Lehkonen 4.5%
Valeri Nichushkin 4.4%

Los Angeles Kings

Player First Goal Probability
Adrian Kempe 7.1%
Artemi Panarin 6.4%
Quinton Byfield 5.7%
Alex Laferriere 5.2%
Trevor Moore 3.8%

Avs vs. Kings Game 4 updates and essential details

Sunday's Game 4 between the Kings and Avalanche in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 4:30 PM ET.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Avalanche and Kings, reached the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Sunday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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