College football player props today: Week 18 Wednesday's best props include Kendrick Raphael [12/24/2025]

Kendrick Raphael under 3.5 receptions (-170)

• Edge: 18.3%
• Probability: 81.2%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on California's Kendrick Raphael under 3.5 receptions. A probability of 81.2% gives this play an edge of 18.3% at -170 odds.

Kendrick Raphael over 77.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 15.8%
• Probability: 69.1%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

Kendrick Raphael’s rushing yards prop shows a 69.1% probability and an 15.8% edge at -114 odds, according to our model.

Kendrick Raphael under 22.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 14.7%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Kendrick Raphael under 22.5 receiving yards, with simulations showing a 68.0% probability and a 14.7% edge at -114.

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele anytime touchdown scorer (+450)

• Edge: 13.0%
• Probability: 31.2%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele to score a touchdown, with a 31.2% probability and an edge of 13.0% at +450 odds.

Trond Grizzell under 98.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Trond Grizzell under 98.5 receiving yards for California, showing an edge of 10.0% at -114 odds.

Jacob De Jesus receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

Jacob De Jesus’s receiving yards prop shows an edge of 5.9% at -114 odds, supported by a 59.2% probability according to our model.

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele first touchdown scorer (+3500)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 6.2%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele first touchdown scorer for California, with a 6.2% probability and a 3.4% edge at +3500 odds.

Jacob De Jesus anytime touchdown scorer (-120)

• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Jacob De Jesus anytime touchdown scorer, supported by a 55.6% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 1.1%.

Jacob De Jesus first touchdown scorer (+750)

• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: California vs. Hawaii (8:00PM ET)

A 0.9% edge on the first touchdown line makes Jacob De Jesus a value play in California vs. Hawaii, supported by a 12.6% probability at +750 odds.

CFB player prop summary: Week 18, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:52AM ET:

Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Kendrick Raphael under 3.5 receptions	-170 @ FanDuel	18.3%	81.2%
Kendrick Raphael over 77.5 rushing yards	-114 @ FanDuel	15.8%	69.1%
Kendrick Raphael under 22.5 receiving yards	-114 @ FanDuel	13.0%	31.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele anytime touchdown scorer	+450 @ DraftKings	13.0%	31.2%
Trond Grizzell under 98.5 receiving yards	-114 @ FanDuel	10.0%	63.3%
Jacob De Jesus receiving yards	-114 @ FanDuel	5.9%	59.2%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele first touchdown scorer	+3500 @ FanDuel	3.4%	6.2%
Jacob De Jesus anytime touchdown scorer	-120 @ DraftKings	1.1%	55.6%
Jacob De Jesus first touchdown scorer	+750 @ DraftKings	0.9%	12.6%

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

For December 24, 2025, our college football prop bets feature players such as Kendrick Raphael, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele and Trond Grizzell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.