College football picks today: Tuesday's best bets include Music City Bowl play [12/30/2025]

Illinois +3 (-105)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Matchup: Music City Bowl (5:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has identified value on Illinois +3 at -105 odds. A 59.6% probability produces an edge of 8.4%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Illinois ML (+136)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Matchup: Music City Bowl (5:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Illinois ML carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 48.5% at +136 odds, according to our model.

Coastal Carolina ML (+325)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 29.4%
• Matchup: Independence Bowl (2:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Coastal Carolina ML at +325 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 29.4% probability in simulations.

Southern California vs. TCU over 55.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Alamo Bowl (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 5.3% edge and 56.8% probability make Southern California vs. TCU over 55.5 points at a value play in the Southern California vs. TCU matchup, per our model.

Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech under 49.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Independence Bowl (2:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech under 49.5 points at -108 odds presents a 2.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.8%.

Tennessee vs. Illinois over 61.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Music City Bowl (5:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model finds value on over 61.5 points in Tennessee vs. Illinois at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 2.3%.

NCAAF best bets summary: Tuesday, 12/30/2025

As of 2:32AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Tennessee vs. Illinois	Illinois +3	-105 @ BetMGM	8.4%	59.6%
Tennessee vs. Illinois	Illinois ML	+136 @ DraftKings	6.1%	48.5%
Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech	Coastal Carolina ML	+325 @ BetMGM	5.8%	29.4%
Southern California vs. TCU	Over 55.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	5.3%	56.8%
Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech	Under 49.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	2.9%	54.8%
Tennessee vs. Illinois	Over 61.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	2.3%	54.7%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech (2:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Tennessee vs. Illinois (5:30PM ET, Tuesday)
• Southern California vs. TCU (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for December 30, 2025, featuring plays such as Illinois +3 and Illinois ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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