College football picks today: New Year's Day best bets include Mississippi vs. Georgia play [1/1/2026]

Mississippi ML (+205)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 39.6%
• Matchup: Mississippi vs. Georgia (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Mississippi to defeat Georgia at +205 odds. A 39.6% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Alabama +7.5 (-115)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Alabama vs. Indiana (4:00PM ET, Thursday)

Alabama +7.5 carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 57.9% at -115 odds, according to our model.

Alabama ML (+215)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 35%
• Matchup: Alabama vs. Indiana (4:00PM ET, Thursday)

Alabama ML at +215 odds shows a 3.2% edge, supported by a 35% probability in simulations.

Texas Tech +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Oregon vs. Texas Tech (12:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 3.1% edge and 54.3% probability make Texas Tech +2.5 vs. Oregon at a value play in the Oregon vs. Texas Tech matchup, per our model.

Texas Tech ML (+114)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Matchup: Oregon vs. Texas Tech (12:00PM ET, Thursday)

Texas Tech ML at +114 odds presents a 2.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 49.5%.

Mississippi +6.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Mississippi vs. Georgia (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Mississippi +6.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 2.2%.

Mississippi vs. Georgia over 55.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Mississippi vs. Georgia (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Mississippi vs. Georgia over 55.5 points at -110 odds. A 54.5% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

NCAAF best bets summary: Thursday, 1/1/2026

As of 4:01AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Mississippi vs. Georgia	Mississippi ML	+205 @ DraftKings	6.8%	39.6%
Alabama vs. Indiana	Alabama +7.5	-115 @ DraftKings	4.4%	57.9%
Alabama vs. Indiana	Alabama ML	+215 @ FanDuel	3.2%	35%
Oregon vs. Texas Tech	Texas Tech +2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	3.1%	54.3%
Oregon vs. Texas Tech	Texas Tech ML	+114 @ DraftKings	2.8%	49.5%
Mississippi vs. Georgia	Mississippi +6.5	-110 @ FanDuel	2.2%	54.6%
Mississippi vs. Georgia	Over 55.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	2.1%	54.5%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Oregon vs. Texas Tech (12:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Alabama vs. Indiana (4:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Mississippi vs. Georgia (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

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Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for January 1, 2026, featuring plays such as Mississippi ML and Alabama +7.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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