College football picks today: Saturday's best bets include Texas Bowl play [12/27/2025]

LSU vs. Houston under 42.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Matchup: Texas Bowl (9:15PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on under 42.5 points in LSU vs. Houston at -110 odds. A 59.7% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Georgia Tech +4 (-110)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Matchup: Pop-Tarts Bowl (3:30PM ET, Saturday)

Georgia Tech +4 carries a 6.9% edge and a probability of 59.3% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Virginia vs. Missouri over 43.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Gator Bowl (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Virginia vs. Missouri over 43.5 points at -105 odds shows a 6.7% edge, supported by a 57.9% probability in simulations.

Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young over 55.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Pop-Tarts Bowl (3:30PM ET, Saturday)

A 6.4% edge and 58.8% probability make Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young over 55.5 points at a value play in the Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young matchup, per our model.

San Diego State ML (+195)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 39.4%
• Matchup: New Mexico Bowl (5:45PM ET, Saturday)

San Diego State ML at +195 odds presents a 5.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 39.4%.

Georgia Tech ML (+155)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 44.4%
• Matchup: Pop-Tarts Bowl (3:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on Georgia Tech to win at +155 odds, supported by an edge of 5.2%.

Penn State +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Pinstripe Bowl (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Penn State +2.5 at -102 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Penn State ML (+124)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Matchup: Pinstripe Bowl (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 3.5% edge on a 48.1% probability makes Penn State to win at +124 odds a solid value play in today's Penn State vs. Clemson matchup.

Houston ML (-110)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Texas Bowl (9:15PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on Houston to win at -110 odds. A 55.5% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making Houston the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

North Texas vs. San Diego State under 53.5 points (-115)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Pinstripe Bowl (5:45PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, North Texas vs. San Diego State under 53.5 points at -115 odds shows a 56.6% probability and a 3.1% edge.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 12/27/2025

As of 2:31AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
LSU vs. Houston	Under 42.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	7.3%	59.7%
Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young	Georgia Tech +4	-110 @ BetMGM	6.9%	59.3%
Virginia vs. Missouri	Over 43.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	6.7%	57.9%
Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young	Over 55.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	6.4%	58.8%
North Texas vs. San Diego State	San Diego State ML	+195 @ DraftKings	5.5%	39.4%
Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young	Georgia Tech ML	+155 @ BetMGM	5.2%	44.4%
Penn State vs. Clemson	Penn State +2.5	-102 @ BetMGM	3.8%	54.3%
Penn State vs. Clemson	Penn State ML	+124 @ FanDuel	3.5%	48.1%
LSU vs. Houston	Houston ML	-110 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55.5%
North Texas vs. San Diego State	Under 53.5 Points	-115 @ BetMGM	3.1%	56.6%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina (11:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Penn State vs. Clemson (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Connecticut vs. Army (2:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Georgia Tech vs. Brigham Young (3:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Miami Ohio vs. Fresno State (4:30PM ET, Saturday)
• North Texas vs. San Diego State (5:45PM ET, Saturday)
• Virginia vs. Missouri (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• LSU vs. Houston (9:15PM ET, Saturday)

AI betting support with Dimebot

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Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for December 27, 2025, featuring plays such as under 42.5 points in the LSU vs. Houston matchup and Georgia Tech +4. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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