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Cubs vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [4/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago Cubs will lock horns in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
Aaron Nola (1-1, 3.64 ERA) will be on the bump for the Phillies, while the Cubs have opted for Riley Martin (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of the Cubs vs. Phillies game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Phillies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 55% chance of beating the Cubs.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 10 runs has a 51% chance of going over.
Cubs vs. Phillies odds [4/14/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+146) |
| Moneyline | +124 | -138 |
| Total | o10 (-110) | u10 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cubs +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | +124 |
| Total | Over 10 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cubs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Phillies and Cubs at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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