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Bulls vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [3/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Phoenix Suns will take on the Chicago Bulls in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Bulls vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Grayson Allen, while the Bulls will rely on Collin Sexton, Tre Jones and Leonard Miller.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bulls vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Bulls and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Suns an 81% chance of defeating the Bulls. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 116-106.
According to our model, the Bulls (+10.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 224.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Bulls vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bulls | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-102) | -10.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +440 | -550 |
| Total | o224.5 (-112) | u224.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bulls vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bulls +10.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Bulls | +440 |
| Total | Under 224.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Bulls +10.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bulls vs. Suns player props
Betting on Chicago vs. Phoenix NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Collin Sexton is expected to lead the Bulls with 18 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bulls prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bulls are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton | 18 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 28 |
| Leonard Miller | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Nick Richards | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 30 |
| Isaac Okoro | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 24 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Jalen Green | 19 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Grayson Allen | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 33 |
| C. Gillespie | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 |
Bulls vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Suns and Bulls at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Bulls vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Bulls on Thursday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bulls vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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