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Chelsea vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Newcastle predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 1:30 PM ET as Newcastle locks horns with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Newcastle game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Newcastle prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Newcastle 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 56.4% chance of Chelsea winning, a 22.5% chance for Newcastle, and a 21.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 64% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chelsea vs. Newcastle odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chelsea | Newcastle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -120 | +290 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -200 | +162 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Newcastle picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea | -120 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -200 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chelsea to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chelsea vs. Newcastle: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Chelsea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 2-1 NEW | 9.7% |
| CHE 1-1 NEW | 9.4% |
| CHE 2-0 NEW | 7.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 37.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Chelsea vs. Newcastle game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League action between Chelsea and Newcastle at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to start in the United States at 1:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Newcastle
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 1:30 PM ET/10:30AM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 56.4% win probability on Saturday, Newcastle has a 22.5% win probability, and there is a 21.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chelsea vs. Newcastle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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