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Chelsea vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Newcastle at the Premier League on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
0
Mar 14, 5:30PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Mar 14, 5:30PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
A. Gordon (18')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
L. Hall (Newcastle) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
A. Ramsdale (Newcastle) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Hato replaces W. Fofana
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Elanga replaces J. Murphy
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: D. Burn replaces J. Willock
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces N. Woltemade
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces M. Caicedo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces M. Gusto
25'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
23'
Yellow Card
W. Fofana (Chelsea) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon, assisted by J. Willock
1-0

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Chelsea vs. Newcastle: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Newcastle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea -140, Newcastle +350, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-200/+163)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 56.4%
  • Newcastle: 22.5%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 56.4% probability, while Newcastle sits at 22.5%, with the draw at 21.1%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Newcastle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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