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Chelsea vs. Burnley prediction, odds, Premier League picks [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Burnley predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 10:00 AM ET as Burnley squares off with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Burnley game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Burnley prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Burnley 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 76.2% chance of Chelsea winning, an 8.8% chance for Burnley, and a 14.9% chance of a draw.
Chelsea vs. Burnley odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Chelsea | Burnley | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -450 | +1200 | +600 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Burnley picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +1200 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chelsea vs. Burnley: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Chelsea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 2-0 BUR | 11.9% |
| CHE 3-0 BUR | 10.1% |
| CHE 1-0 BUR | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.0% chance that both Chelsea and Burnley score, and a 51.0% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Chelsea vs. Burnley game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League action between Chelsea and Burnley at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to commence in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Burnley
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 76.2% win probability on Saturday, Burnley has an 8.8% win probability, and there is a 14.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chelsea vs. Burnley insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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