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Chelsea vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Burnley Premier League match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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Feb 21, 10:00 AM ET Stamford Bridge
Feb 21, 10:00 AM ET Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
Joao Pedro (4')
W. Fofana (72')
Z. Flemming (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Chelsea
- Burnley
Win Probability
Match Timeline
R. Sanchez (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming, assisted by J. Ward-Prowse
1-1
J. Hato (Chelsea) cautioned
J. Laurent (Burnley) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Sarr replaces P. Neto
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Acheampong replaces R. James
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces B. Humphreys
Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces J. Anthony
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Hato replaces M. Gusto
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces Joao Pedro
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces J. Laurent
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Adarabioyo replaces C. Palmer
W. Fofana (Chelsea) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces L. Ugochukwu
Substitution for Burnley: Lucas Pires replaces K. Walker
W. Fofana (Chelsea) cautioned
H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by P. Neto
0-1
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Chelsea vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Chelsea vs. Burnley
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea -425, Burnley +1400, draw +600
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Chelsea: 76.8%
- Burnley: 8.6%
- Draw: 14.6%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Chelsea 2-0 Burnley (11.8%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Chelsea vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score
Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 76.8%.
The most likely correct score is Chelsea 2-0 Burnley.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chelsea vs. Burnley, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
