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Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Arsenal predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Chelsea and Arsenal are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Stamford Bridge on Sunday, with kickoff at 11:30AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Arsenal as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Arsenal game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Arsenal 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 27.9% chance of Chelsea winning, a 47.0% chance for Arsenal, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chelsea | Arsenal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +210 | +150 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +108 | -132 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arsenal | +150 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +108 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arsenal to win.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 1-1 ARS | 11.9% |
| CHE 0-1 ARS | 10.4% |
| CHE 1-2 ARS | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 46.0% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League matchup between Chelsea and Arsenal at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to start in the United States at 11:30AM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Arsenal
- Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Time: 11:30AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 27.9% win probability on Sunday, Arsenal has a 47.0% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chelsea vs. Arsenal insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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