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Chelsea vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Arsenal at the Premier League on November 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
:
1
Nov 30, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Nov 30, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Caicedo (38')
Red Card icon
T. Chalobah (48')
Soccer ball icon
M. Merino (59')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
V. Gyokeres (Arsenal) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: V. Gyokeres replaces E. Eze
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Merino, assisted by B. Saka
1-1
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: N. Madueke replaces G. Martinelli
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Odegaard replaces M. Zubimendi
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces Joao Pedro
54'
Yellow Card
M. Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by T. Chalobah, assisted by R. James
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces Estevao
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Lewis-Skelly replaces R. Calafiori
41'
Yellow Card
P. Hincapie (Arsenal) cautioned
38'
Red Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card
27'
Yellow Card
R. Calafiori (Arsenal) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
C. Mosquera (Arsenal) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
5'
Yellow Card
M. Zubimendi (Arsenal) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea +210, Arsenal +150, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 27.9%
  • Arsenal: 47.0%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.9% probability, while Arsenal sits at 47.0%, with the draw at 25.1%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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