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Hurricanes vs. Senators prediction: Ottawa favored to win Game 3 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Ottawa Senators will square off with the Carolina Hurricanes in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Senators a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Hurricanes Game 3 matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Hurricanes vs. Senators matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Canes vs. Senators prediction: Who will win Game 3?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Hurricanes and Senators, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Senators a 52% chance of defeating the Hurricanes in Game 3 of the series.
According to our model, the Hurricanes (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over.
Hurricanes vs. Senators Game 3 odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hurricanes | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-235) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | +106 | -122 |
| Total | o5.5 (+114) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hurricanes vs. Senators picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Hurricanes +1.5 | -235 |
| Moneyline | Hurricanes | +106 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | +114 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hurricanes vs. Senators player props
Who will score a goal in Hurricanes vs. Senators?
According to our model, Drake Batherson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Hurricanes vs. Senators.
Our projections give Batherson a 30.4% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 5.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 26.3% |
| Logan Stankoven | 26.0% |
| Seth Jarvis | 24.9% |
| Sebastian Aho | 23.4% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 22.9% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Drake Batherson | 30.4% |
| Brady Tkachuk | 28.6% |
| Tim Stutzle | 27.6% |
| Dylan Cozens | 25.9% |
| Shane Pinto | 24.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 4.9% |
| Logan Stankoven | 4.7% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 4.6% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 4.5% |
| Sebastian Aho | 4.4% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 5.6% |
| Tim Stutzle | 5.4% |
| Drake Batherson | 5.4% |
| Dylan Cozens | 4.7% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.2% |
Canes vs. Senators Game 3 updates and essential details
Thursday's Game 3 between the Senators and Hurricanes in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Carolina Hurricanes vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's postseason elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Hurricanes and Senators, reached the NHL Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Senators, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Hurricanes in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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