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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Canberra Raiders prediction: Rabbitohs favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 6 matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Canberra Raiders predictions for NRL Saturday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs and Canberra Raiders will meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Optus Stadium on Saturday, starting at 1:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Rabbitohs as the most likely winner of the Raiders vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL matchup between the Raiders and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rabbitohs a 61% chance of beating the Raiders.
According to our model, the Raiders (+5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Raiders vs. Souths odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raiders | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +155 | -196 |
| Line (Spread) | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-120) |
| Total | o49.5 (-114) | u49.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raiders vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders +5.5 | bet_rivers_in-105 |
| Moneyline | Raiders | bet_rivers_in+155 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -114 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 49.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Rabbitohs and Raiders at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 AM ET.
- Who: Canberra Raiders vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 1:00 AM ET/10:00PM PT
- Venue: Optus Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Rabbitohs, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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