Flames vs. Islanders prediction: Islanders favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [3/14/2026]

The NY Islanders and Calgary Flames will lock horns in the NHL at UBS Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Islanders as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Islanders game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flames vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Islanders 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Islanders a 57% chance of beating the Flames.

According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Flames vs. Islanders odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flames	Islanders
Puck Line	+1.5 (-190)	-1.5 (+164)
Moneyline	+125	-142
Total	o6 (-118)	u6 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flames vs. Islanders picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flames +1.5	-190
Moneyline	Flames	+125
Total	Under 6	-102

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Flames vs. Islanders player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Islanders?

According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Islanders.

Our projections give Horvat a 35.6% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich	25.4%
Matthew Coronato	22.4%
Victor Olofsson	21.1%
Morgan Frost	20.6%
Matvei Gridin	20.3%

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	35.6%
Mathew Barzal	27.2%
Anders Lee	26.5%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	23.9%
Simon Holmstrom	21.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	First Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich	4.8%
Matthew Coronato	4.3%
Victor Olofsson	4.0%
Matvei Gridin	3.8%
Blake Coleman	3.5%

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	7.8%
Mathew Barzal	5.4%
Anders Lee	5.0%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	4.7%
Matthew Schaefer	3.9%

Flames vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Islanders and Flames at UBS Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: UBS Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Islanders, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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