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Flames vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Islanders NHL game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Flames
2
3
Mar 14, 11PM UBS Arena
Islanders
Mar 14, 11PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Flames
0 0 2 2
Islanders
3 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
FlamesCGY
Win %
0%
100%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
0 0 2 2
Islanders
3 0 0 3
P3 15:16 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 14:46 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 14:38 Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by David Rittich
P3 12:42 Blake Coleman shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P3 12:01 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 11:58 Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by David Rittich
P3 10:40 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by David Rittich
P3 08:01 Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 07:06 Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by David Rittich
P3 06:33 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 06:05 Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:53 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
P3 04:44 Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P3 04:44 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 03:34 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
P3 03:08 Shot missed by John Beecher
P3 02:34 Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by David Rittich
P3 02:17 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by David Rittich
P2 17:05 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Dustin Wolf
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:54
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P3 18:14
Giveaway by Emil Heineman in offensive zone
P3 16:53
Anders Lee credited with hit on Olli Maatta in defensive zone
P3 16:20
Giveaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
P3 15:16
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 14:48
Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
P3 14:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 14:41
Flames won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P3 14:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by David Rittich
P3 14:09
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 14:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 13:59
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone
P3 13:29
Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P3 13:04
Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
P3 12:58
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P3 12:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:53
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
P3 12:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:42
SHOT
Blake Coleman shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P3 12:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 11:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by David Rittich
P3 10:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 09:24
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 09:24
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:28
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P3 08:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by David Rittich
P3 08:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 07:22
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Adam Pelech in offensive zone
P3 07:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 07:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by David Rittich
P3 06:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 06:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
P3 04:44
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P3 04:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 04:06
Takeaway by Carson Soucy in neutral zone
P3 03:40
John Beecher credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
P3 03:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
P3 03:08
SHOT
Shot missed by John Beecher
P3 02:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by David Rittich
P3 02:17
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P3 02:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by David Rittich
P3 02:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:53
Yegor Sharangovich credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
P3 01:46
Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
P3 01:38
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
P3 01:38
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:00
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:19
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 18:55
Anders Lee won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
P2 18:55
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 18:05
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P2 17:08
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 17:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 16:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 15:57
Anders Lee credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
P2 15:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 15:20
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P2 15:13
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P2 15:13
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 13:58
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P2 13:53
SHOT
Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P2 12:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 12:26
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by Anders Lee
P2 12:23
Stoppage - Icing
P2 11:52
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
P2 11:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by David Rittich
P2 11:07
John Beecher won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P2 11:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 10:20
Takeaway by Kevin Bahl in neutral zone
P2 09:58
Flames won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P2 09:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P2 09:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P2 06:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Schenn
P2 06:32
Giveaway by Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P2 05:58
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
P2 05:58
Stoppage - Offside
P2 05:10
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 04:42
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 04:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 03:50
Giveaway by John Beecher in defensive zone
P2 03:41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Beecher in offensive zone
P2 01:55
Takeaway by Carson Soucy in neutral zone
P2 01:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by David Rittich
P2 01:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by David Rittich
P2 01:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by David Rittich
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:35
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
P1 19:35
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Simon Holmstrom assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
0-3
P1 19:07
Power play - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 18:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by David Rittich
P1 18:18
Power play - Giveaway by Zayne Parekh in defensive zone
P1 18:04
Penalty to Calum Ritchie 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Matvei Gridin)
P1 16:55
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:35
Matt Coronato won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 16:26
SHOT
Olli Maatta shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
P1 15:50
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
P1 15:47
SHOT
Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P1 15:01
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Devin Cooley
P1 14:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P1 14:28
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Frost shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:07
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 14:07
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 12:58
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
P1 12:55
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
P1 12:48
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 11:11
Blake Coleman credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 10:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Devin Cooley
P1 10:50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 10:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 10:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Carson Soucy
P1 10:06
Flames won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P1 09:48
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P1 09:48
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:30
SHOT
Blake Coleman shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P1 09:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by David Rittich
P1 08:42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 08:42
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by David Rittich
P1 07:22
Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P1 07:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P1 06:53
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P1 06:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:42
Emil Heineman credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
P1 05:52
Takeaway by Zayne Parekh in neutral zone
P1 05:43
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Zayne Parekh in offensive zone
P1 03:54
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P1 03:19
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 03:17
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P1 01:54
Giveaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
P1 01:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Devin Cooley
P1 00:14
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stats
Flames
STATS
Islanders
32Shots on Goal27
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
9Hits22
10Shots Blocked18
17Giveaways16
FlamesCGY
IslandersNYI
32Shots on Goal27
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
9Hits22
10Shots Blocked18
17Giveaways16

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Flames vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Islanders
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames +135, Islanders -148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 43%
  • Islanders: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 43%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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