Flames vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/16/2026]

The Detroit Red Wings and Calgary Flames are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Little Caesars Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Red Wings as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Red Wings game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flames vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Red Wings a 60% chance of defeating the Flames.

According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over.

Flames vs. Red Wings odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flames	Red Wings
Puck Line	+1.5 (-165)	-1.5 (+142)
Moneyline	+154	-180
Total	o5.5 (-122)	u5.5 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flames vs. Red Wings picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flames +1.5	-165
Moneyline	Flames	+154
Total	Under 5.5	+105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Flames vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 43.5% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 9.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich	23.1%
Matthew Coronato	20.6%
Victor Olofsson	20.3%
Morgan Frost	19.9%
Joel Farabee	18.4%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	43.5%
Lucas Raymond	37.1%
Marco Kasper	27.4%
Patrick Kane	26.2%
David Perron	19.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	First Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich	4.7%
Victor Olofsson	3.9%
Matthew Coronato	3.9%
Matvei Gridin	3.7%
Morgan Frost	3.5%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	9.7%
Lucas Raymond	7.4%
Marco Kasper	5.9%
Patrick Kane	4.9%
David Perron	3.6%

Flames vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Red Wings and Flames at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Red Wings, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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