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Flames vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Red Wings NHL game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Flames
2
5
Mar 16, 11PM Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Mar 16, 11PM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Flames
1 1 0 2
Red Wings
0 4 1 5
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
FlamesCGY
Win %
0%
100%
Red WingsDET
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
1 1 0 2
Red Wings
0 4 1 5
P3 18:55 Goal scored by Dominik Shine (Empty Net)
P3 18:45 Justin Faulk shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
P3 16:35 Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 15:28 Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 14:03 Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 12:46 Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 09:37 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 09:08 Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 08:55 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:32 Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 07:25 Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 06:32 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:57 Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 04:44 Matt Coronato shot blocked by John Leonard
P3 04:30 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 03:00 Albert Johansson shot blocked by Ryan Strome
P3 02:20 Morgan Frost shot blocked by Sheldon Dries
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:55
Connor Zary won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
P3 18:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Dominik Shine (Empty Net)
2-5
P3 18:45
SHOT
Justin Faulk shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P3 18:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P3 17:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
P3 16:51
Joel Farabee credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
P3 16:38
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P3 16:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 15:28
SHOT
Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 14:56
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 14:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 12:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 10:04
John Leonard credited with hit on Hunter Brzustewicz in neutral zone
P3 09:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 09:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 08:55
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 07:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 07:08
Penalty to Blake Coleman 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 07:08
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P3 06:34
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P3 06:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:57
SHOT
Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 05:54
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:44
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by John Leonard
P3 04:42
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 03:50
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P3 03:00
SHOT
Albert Johansson shot blocked by Ryan Strome
P3 02:45
Mason Appleton credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
P3 02:20
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by Sheldon Dries
P3 01:57
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P3 01:16
SHOT
Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P3 00:58
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P3 00:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 00:00
Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in defensive zone
P2 18:49
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 18:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
P2 18:28
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 17:15
Matvei Gridin credited with hit on Marco Kasper in neutral zone
P2 17:11
Takeaway by Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P2 16:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P2 15:32
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P2 14:59
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P2 14:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 13:56
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
P2 13:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 12:53
SHOT
Ryan Strome shot blocked by Justin Faulk
P2 12:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by John Gibson
P2 11:45
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Moritz Seider
2-4
P2 10:52
Shorthanded - Kevin Bahl credited with hit on James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
P2 10:41
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 10:41
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 09:46
Connor Zary won faceoff against Sheldon Dries in defensive zone
P2 09:14
SHOT
Joel Hanley shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P2 08:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Coleman
P2 07:34
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
P2 07:34
Stoppage - Offside
P2 07:23
GOAL
Goal scored by Matt Coronato
2-3
P2 07:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 06:37
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Matt Coronato in neutral zone
P2 06:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P2 06:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by John Gibson
P2 05:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by John Gibson
P2 05:06
Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P2 05:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 04:37
Power play - Ryan Strome won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
P2 04:35
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.T. Compher
P2 03:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P2 03:18
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
P2 03:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
P2 03:01
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 02:52
Morgan Frost won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P2 02:37
SHOT
Albert Johansson shot blocked by Connor Zary
P2 02:02
Dominik Shine won faceoff against Connor Zary in defensive zone
P2 02:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P2 01:50
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P2 01:03
Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
P2 00:55
SHOT
Olli Maatta shot blocked by Patrick Kane
P2 00:24
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
P2 00:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:00
Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 17:42
David Perron credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
P1 17:37
Ryan Lomberg credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
P1 17:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P1 17:14
Stoppage - Offside
P1 16:26
Power play - Sheldon Dries won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
P1 16:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Leonard
P1 15:52
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by John Gibson
P1 15:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 15:13
SHOT
Power play - Moritz Seider shot blocked by Blake Coleman
P1 15:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P1 14:34
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 14:34
Penalty to Zach Whitecloud 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 14:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 13:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 12:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
P1 12:15
Flames won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in offensive zone
P1 12:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:43
Connor Zary won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
P1 11:43
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P1 11:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by John Gibson
P1 10:32
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P1 09:28
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
P1 09:28
Penalty to Dominik Shine 5 minutes for Fighting
P1 09:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Pospisil saved by John Gibson
P1 08:40
Connor Zary won faceoff against Sheldon Dries in offensive zone
P1 08:40
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:29
Marco Kasper credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
P1 06:38
Giveaway by Hunter Brzustewicz in neutral zone
P1 06:20
Morgan Frost won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
P1 06:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by John Gibson
P1 04:45
Connor Zary won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
P1 04:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 04:14
Morgan Frost won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
P1 04:14
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:05
SHOT
Power play - David Perron shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P1 02:57
SHOT
Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P1 02:47
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
P1 02:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 02:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Moritz Seider
P1 01:50
Power play - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 01:44
SHOT
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P1 01:19
Giveaway by Victor Olofsson in offensive zone
P1 01:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by John Gibson
P1 00:11
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Blake Coleman in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Flames
STATS
Red Wings
27Shots on Goal25
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins13
20Hits26
13Shots Blocked13
15Giveaways13
FlamesCGY
Red WingsDET
27Shots on Goal25
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins13
20Hits26
13Shots Blocked13
15Giveaways13

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Flames vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames +158, Red Wings -180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 40%
  • Red Wings: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 40%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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