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Burnley vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Newcastle predictions for Premier League Tuesday.
Burnley and Newcastle will lock horns in the Premier League at Turf Moor on Tuesday, with kickoff at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Newcastle game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Newcastle prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Premier League match between Burnley and Newcastle 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 21.1% chance of Burnley winning, a 56.2% chance for Newcastle, and a 22.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Newcastle odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Newcastle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +440 | -155 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -128 | +104 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Newcastle picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +440 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -128 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
Burnley vs. Newcastle: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-1 NEW | 10.7% |
| BUR 0-1 NEW | 10.3% |
| BUR 1-2 NEW | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.5% chance that both teams scoring, and a 45.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Burnley vs. Newcastle game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's Premier League action between Burnley and Newcastle at Turf Moor is scheduled to commence in the United States at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Burnley vs. Newcastle
- Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Turf Moor
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has a 21.1% win probability on Tuesday, Newcastle has a 56.2% win probability, and there is a 22.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Burnley vs. Newcastle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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