Burnley vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Newcastle Premier League match on December 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
3
1
Turf Moor
Burnley
Turf Moor
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
J. Laurent (23')
Soccer ball icon
Joelinton (2')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Wissa (7')
Soccer ball icon
Bruno Guimaraes (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Newcastle
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes
    3-1
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces Joelinton
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye replaces L. Ugochukwu
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces Florentino
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces Y. Wissa
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces A. Gordon
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces H. Barnes
  9. 32'
    Yellow Card
    Florentino (Burnley) cautioned
  10. 28'
    Yellow Card
    K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
  11. 28'
    Yellow Card
    Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
  12. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by J. Laurent, assisted by A. Broja
    2-1
  13. 15'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: B. Humphreys replaces M. Esteve
  14. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by Y. Wissa
    2-0
  15. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by Joelinton
    1-0

Burnley vs. Newcastle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +490, Newcastle -165, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 20.5%
  • Newcastle: 57.2%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Newcastle (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Burnley vs. Newcastle? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.2%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Newcastle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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