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Burnley vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Newcastle Premier League match on December 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
3
1
Dec 30, 2:30 PM ET Turf Moor
Dec 30, 2:30 PM ET Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
J. Laurent (23')
Joelinton (2')
Y. Wissa (7')
Bruno Guimaraes (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Burnley
- Newcastle
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes
3-1
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces Joelinton
Substitution for Burnley: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye replaces L. Ugochukwu
Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces Florentino
Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces Y. Wissa
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces H. Barnes
Florentino (Burnley) cautioned
K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Laurent, assisted by A. Broja
2-1
Substitution for Burnley: B. Humphreys replaces M. Esteve
Goal scored for Newcastle by Y. Wissa
2-0
Goal scored for Newcastle by Joelinton
1-0
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Burnley vs. Newcastle: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Newcastle
- Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +490, Newcastle -165, draw +330
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+108)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Burnley: 20.5%
- Newcastle: 57.2%
- Draw: 22.3%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Newcastle (10.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Burnley vs. Newcastle? Prediction & correct score
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.2%.
The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Newcastle.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Newcastle, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
