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Burnley vs. Brighton prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Brighton predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Burnley and Brighton will lock horns in the Premier League at Turf Moor on Saturday, starting at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Brighton as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Brighton game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Brighton prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Burnley and Brighton, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 22.2% chance of Burnley winning, a 55.2% chance for Brighton, and a 22.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Brighton odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Brighton | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +360 | -130 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Brighton picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +360 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -138 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Burnley vs. Brighton: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-1 BRI | 10.6% |
| BUR 1-2 BRI | 9.9% |
| BUR 0-1 BRI | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.0% chance of both Burnley and Brighton finding the net and a 44.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Burnley vs. Brighton game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Burnley and Brighton at Turf Moor is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Burnley vs. Brighton
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Turf Moor
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has a 22.2% win probability on Saturday, Brighton has a 55.2% win probability, and there is a 22.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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