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Burnley vs. Brentford prediction, odds, Premier League picks [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Brentford predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 10:00 AM ET as Brentford locks horns with Burnley at Turf Moor.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Brentford as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Brentford game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Brentford prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Burnley and Brentford 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 23.8% chance of Burnley winning, a 52.7% chance for Brentford, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Brentford odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Brentford | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +350 | -130 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +122 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Brentford picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +350 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +122 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Burnley vs. Brentford: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-1 BRE | 11.1% |
| BUR 0-1 BRE | 10.1% |
| BUR 1-2 BRE | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 44.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Burnley vs. Brentford game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League game between Burnley and Brentford at Turf Moor is scheduled to commence in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Burnley vs. Brentford
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Turf Moor
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has a 23.8% win probability on Saturday, Brentford has a 52.7% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Burnley vs. Brentford insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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