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Burnley vs. Brentford prediction, odds, Premier League picks [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Brentford predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Burnley and Brentford will lock horns in the Premier League at Turf Moor on Saturday, starting at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Brentford as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Brentford game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Brentford prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Burnley and Brentford 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 24.5% chance of Burnley winning, a 51.3% chance for Brentford, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Brentford odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Brentford | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +360 | -125 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -122 | +100 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Brentford picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +360 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +100 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Burnley vs. Brentford: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-1 BRE | 11.5% |
| BUR 0-1 BRE | 10.6% |
| BUR 1-2 BRE | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.8% chance of the yes hitting, and a 46.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Burnley vs. Brentford game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League game between Burnley and Brentford at Turf Moor is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Burnley vs. Brentford
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Turf Moor
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has a 24.5% win probability on Saturday, Brentford has a 51.3% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Burnley vs. Brentford insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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