Burnley vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Brentford Premier League match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Brentford
4
3
Turf Moor
Burnley
Turf Moor
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
BrentfordBRE
M. Kayode (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Anthony (47')
Soccer ball icon
Z. Flemming (60')
Soccer ball icon
M. Damsgaard (9')
Soccer ball icon
I. Thiago (25')
Soccer ball icon
K. Schade (34')
Soccer ball icon
M. Damsgaard (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Brentford
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces Z. Flemming
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by M. Damsgaard, assisted by R. Henry
    4-3
  3. 90'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Yarmolyuk (Brentford) cautioned
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Foster (Burnley) cautioned
  6. 86'
    Yellow Card
    B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces H. Mejbri
  8. 78'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  9. 77'
    Yellow Card
    I. Thiago (Brentford) cautioned
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces J. Ward-Prowse
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: J. Henderson replaces Y. Yarmolyuk
  12. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: R. Donovan replaces D. Ouattara
  13. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: K. Lewis-Potter replaces K. Schade
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming, assisted by H. Mejbri
    3-3
  15. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by H. Mejbri
    3-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces J. Bruun Larsen
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Ugochukwu replaces J. Laurent
  18. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by M. Kayode (o.g.)
    3-1
  19. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by K. Schade
    3-0
  20. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by I. Thiago, assisted by M. Damsgaard
    2-0
  21. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by M. Damsgaard, assisted by D. Ouattara
    1-0

Burnley vs. Brentford: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Brentford
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +350, Brentford -130, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 23.8%
  • Brentford: 52.7%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Brentford (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Burnley vs. Brentford? Prediction & correct score

Brentford is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Brentford.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Brentford, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.