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Burnley vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Brentford Premier League match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
3
Feb 28, 10:00 AM ET Turf Moor
Feb 28, 10:00 AM ET Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
M. Kayode (o.g.) (45')
J. Anthony (47')
Z. Flemming (60')
M. Damsgaard (9')
I. Thiago (25')
K. Schade (34')
M. Damsgaard (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Burnley
- Brentford
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces Z. Flemming
Goal scored for Brentford by M. Damsgaard, assisted by R. Henry
4-3
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
Y. Yarmolyuk (Brentford) cautioned
L. Foster (Burnley) cautioned
B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces H. Mejbri
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
I. Thiago (Brentford) cautioned
Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces J. Ward-Prowse
Substitution for Brentford: J. Henderson replaces Y. Yarmolyuk
Substitution for Brentford: R. Donovan replaces D. Ouattara
Substitution for Brentford: K. Lewis-Potter replaces K. Schade
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming, assisted by H. Mejbri
3-3
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by H. Mejbri
3-2
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces J. Bruun Larsen
Substitution for Burnley: L. Ugochukwu replaces J. Laurent
Goal scored for Burnley by M. Kayode (o.g.)
3-1
Goal scored for Brentford by K. Schade
3-0
Goal scored for Brentford by I. Thiago, assisted by M. Damsgaard
2-0
Goal scored for Brentford by M. Damsgaard, assisted by D. Ouattara
1-0
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Burnley vs. Brentford: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Brentford
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +350, Brentford -130, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+110)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Burnley: 23.8%
- Brentford: 52.7%
- Draw: 23.6%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Brentford (11.1%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Burnley vs. Brentford? Prediction & correct score
Brentford is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.
The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Brentford.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Brentford, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
