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Burnley vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Burnley vs. Brentford at the Premier League on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brentford
4
3
Feb 28, 3PM Turf Moor
Burnley
Feb 28, 3PM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
BrentfordBRE
M. Kayode (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Anthony (47')
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Z. Flemming (60')
Soccer ball icon
M. Damsgaard (9')
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I. Thiago (25')
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K. Schade (34')
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M. Damsgaard (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
BRE
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces Z. Flemming
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by M. Damsgaard, assisted by R. Henry
4-3
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
90'
Yellow Card
Y. Yarmolyuk (Brentford) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
L. Foster (Burnley) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces H. Mejbri
78'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
77'
Yellow Card
I. Thiago (Brentford) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces J. Ward-Prowse
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: J. Henderson replaces Y. Yarmolyuk
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: R. Donovan replaces D. Ouattara
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: K. Lewis-Potter replaces K. Schade
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming, assisted by H. Mejbri
3-3
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by H. Mejbri
3-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces J. Bruun Larsen
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Ugochukwu replaces J. Laurent
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by M. Kayode (o.g.)
3-1
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by K. Schade
3-0
25'
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Goal scored for Brentford by I. Thiago, assisted by M. Damsgaard
2-0
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by M. Damsgaard, assisted by D. Ouattara
1-0

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Burnley vs. Brentford: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Burnley vs. Brentford prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Brentford
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +350, Brentford -130, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Burnley: 23.8%
  • Brentford: 52.7%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Burnley 1-1 Brentford, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Burnley is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.8% probability, while Brentford sits at 52.7%, with the draw at 23.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Burnley vs. Brentford prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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