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Read Article New Zealand Warriors vs. Brisbane Broncos prediction: Why Warriors are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for NRL Sunday.
The New Zealand Warriors will face the Brisbane Broncos in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:05 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Warriors game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Warriors vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Broncos and Warriors, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 67% chance of defeating the Broncos.
According to our model, the Warriors (-2.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 57% chance of staying under.
Broncos vs. Warriors odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +118 | -152 |
| Line (Spread) | +2.5 (-115) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total | o51.5 (-115) | u51.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Broncos vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors -2.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | bet_rivers_in-152 |
| Total | Under 51.5 | -110 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Warriors -2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Warriors vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Warriors and Broncos at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:05 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Broncos vs. New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 2:05 AM ET/11:05PM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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