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Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos prediction: Storm favored to win Friday's NRL Round 3 matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for NRL Friday.
The Melbourne Storm will take on the Brisbane Broncos in National Rugby League (NRL) action at AAMI Park on Friday, beginning at 5:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Storm game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Storm vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win Round 3 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NRL matchup between the Broncos and Storm 10,000 times as part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Storm a 77% chance of beating the Broncos.
According to our model, the Storm (-9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 59% chance of staying under.
Broncos vs. Storm odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +220 | -294 |
| Line (Spread) | +9.5 (-105) | -9.5 (-120) |
| Total | o55.5 (-115) | u55.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -9.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Storm | bet_rivers_in-294 |
| Total | Under 55.5 | -110 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league action between the Storm and Broncos at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Broncos vs. Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Venue: AAMI Park
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Storm insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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