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Brewers @ Pirates: Predictions, bets and picks

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Brewers @ Pirates: Predictions, bets and picks

The weekend series between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers continues to pick up steam with the teams lining up for the second time this afternoon.

The Pirates had the better of the first game, beating Milwaukee with ease 7-2.

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Here are our best plays for the day:


Dimers' Suggested Plays
πŸ’ͺ BEST: Brewers ML (-144*)
πŸƒ Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (-115*)
πŸ‘‡ Total runs: Under 9.5 (+110*)


Best bet
Brewers ML (-144*) has a 51% probability

The Brewers haven’t really clicked into gear yet this season which is a surprise given the talent they have on their roster. Pittsburgh were able to pull off the win in the series opener yesterday, notching just their fifth win of the year. We see Milwaukee’s class rise above today to beat the Pirates.

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Run Line
Pirates +1.5 (-115*) has a 60% probability

Our predictive model does predict the Brewers to win, but with only a slight edge in probability. We expect the Pirates to keep some of the good form they displayed yesterday rolling into today but ultimately falling short. Take the Pirates at the run line.

 

Total Runs
Under 9.5 runs (+120*) has a 52% probability

Only nine runs in the game yesterday and we are expecting another relatively low scoring affair. Look for the Brewers pitchers to suffocate the Pirates offense at every opportunity to try and get back into this series.

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Dimers' take-out

Milwaukee would be shocked by their loss to the hapless Pirates yesterday. Look for them to atone for yesterday’s slip up.

 

*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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