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Red Sox vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Phillies MLB game on July 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Jul 21, 10:45 PM Citizens Bank Park
Jul 21, 10:45 PM Citizens Bank Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Max Kepler is intentionally walked.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Duran | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 1.400 |
| 2 | A. Bregman | 3B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 3 | R. Anthony | DH | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.600 |
| 4 | T. Story | SS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 5 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 6 | C. Rafaela | 2B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 7 | R. González | 1B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Narváez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 9 | R. Refsnyder | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.500 |
| 4 | N. Castellanos | RF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 5 | J. Realmuto | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 6 | B. Marsh | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 7 | O. Kemp | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 8 | M. Kepler | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.833 |
| 9 | E. Sosa | 2B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.000 |
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Red Sox vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Sox vs. Phillies
- Date: Monday, July 21, 2025
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8
- Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +205, Phillies -235
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Sox: 35%
- Phillies: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 35%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Sox vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
