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Bournemouth vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Bournemouth vs Leeds predictions for Premier League Wednesday.
Bournemouth and Leeds are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Vitality Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Bournemouth as the most likely winner of the Bournemouth vs. Leeds game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bournemouth vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Premier League match between Bournemouth and Leeds, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 47.9% chance of Bournemouth winning, a 27.5% chance for Leeds, and a 24.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Bournemouth vs. Leeds odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Bournemouth | Leeds | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +260 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bournemouth vs. Leeds picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leeds | +260 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bournemouth vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BOU 1-1 Leeds | 11.7% |
| BOU 1-0 Leeds | 10% |
| BOU 2-1 Leeds | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Bournemouth vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's Premier League game between Bournemouth and Leeds at Vitality Stadium is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Bournemouth vs. Leeds
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Vitality Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Tyler Adams (USA)
Bournemouth defensive midfielder Tyler Adams is on the radar for USMNT fans this year as anticipation ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Adams' form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Bournemouth has a 47.9% win probability on Wednesday, Leeds has a 27.5% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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