Bournemouth vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Bournemouth vs. Leeds Premier League match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
2
:
2
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
Vitality Stadium
BournemouthAFC
Score Summary
LeedsLU
E. J. Kroupi (60')
Soccer ball icon
Rayan (85')
Soccer ball icon
J. Hill (o.g.) (68')
Soccer ball icon
S. Longstaff (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bournemouth
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Toth replaces M. Tavernier
  2. 90'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Evanilson (Bournemouth) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by S. Longstaff
    2-2
  5. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces A. Tanaka
  6. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by Rayan, assisted by T. Adams
    1-2
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces B. Aaronson
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: T. Adams replaces E. J. Kroupi
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Adli replaces R. Christie
  10. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by J. Hill (o.g.)
    1-1
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: Rayan replaces D. Brooks
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces N. Okafor
  13. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces J. Bijol
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by E. J. Kroupi, assisted by M. Senesi
    0-1
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Rodon replaces J. Bogle
  16. 41'
    Yellow Card
    A. Jimenez (Bournemouth) cautioned
  17. 25'
    Yellow Card
    E. J. Kroupi (Bournemouth) cautioned

Bournemouth vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Bournemouth vs. Leeds
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Bournemouth -105, Leeds +300, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Bournemouth: 48.3%
  • Leeds: 27.6%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Bournemouth 1-1 Leeds (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Bournemouth vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Bournemouth is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.3%.

The most likely correct score is Bournemouth 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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