Bruins vs. Sabres prediction: Buffalo favored to win Game 5 [2026]

The Buffalo Sabres and Boston Bruins will lock horns in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs at KeyBank Center on Tuesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Sabres as the most likely winner of the Bruins vs. Sabres Game 5 matchup.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Bruins vs. Sabres prediction: Who will win Game 5?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Bruins and Sabres, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Sabres a 60% chance of beating the Bruins in Game 5 of the series.

According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over.

Bruins vs. Sabres Game 5 odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bruins	Sabres
Puck Line	+1.5 (-175)	-1.5 (+145)
Moneyline	+145	-170
Total	o5.5 (-125)	u5.5 (+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bruins vs. Sabres picks and best bet for Game 5

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Bruins +1.5	-175
Moneyline	Bruins	+145
Total	Over 5.5	-125

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Bruins vs. Sabres player props

Who will score a goal in Bruins vs. Sabres?

According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Bruins vs. Sabres.

Our projections give Pastrnak a 41.4% chance of scoring a goal at KeyBank Center, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Boston Bruins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	41.4%
Morgan Geekie	32.9%
Pavel Zacha	27.8%
Elias Lindholm	21.1%
Charlie McAvoy	16.4%

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	40.5%
Alex Tuch	39.9%
Jason Zucker	28.2%
Jack Quinn	25.7%
Zach Benson	25.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Boston Bruins

Player	First Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	8.3%
Morgan Geekie	6.5%
Pavel Zacha	5.2%
Elias Lindholm	3.2%
Charlie McAvoy	2.8%

Buffalo Sabres

Player	First Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	8.4%
Alex Tuch	7.9%
Jason Zucker	5.3%
Zach Benson	5.0%
Jack Quinn	4.5%

Bruins vs. Sabres Game 5 updates and essential details

Tuesday's Game 5 between the Sabres and Bruins in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres
• Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: KeyBank Center

The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Bruins and Sabres, reached the NHL Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Sabres, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.