Jul 8, 2026
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Read Article Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Fever vs. Mercury WNBA play [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Thursday, July 9, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for July 9, 2026 are here, with Fever vs. Mercury in the WNBA and Angels vs. Rangers in the MLB among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest odds to find top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [7/9, updated 2:53AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 9, 2026.
WNBA: Fever vs. Mercury Under 174.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 62.8%
- WNBA matchup: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 174.5 points in Fever vs. Mercury at -110 odds. A 62.8% probability produces an edge of 10.4%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
MLB: Angels vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (+127)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 51.7%
- WNBA matchup: Angels vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Angels vs. Rangers over 7.5 runs carries a 7.7% edge and a probability of 51.7% at +127 odds, according to our model.
WNBA: Storm vs. Dream Under 168.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 58.5%
- WNBA Matchup: Storm vs. Dream (8:00PM ET)
Storm vs. Dream Under 168.5 points at -105 odds shows a 7.3% edge, supported by a 58.5% probability in simulations.
WNBA: Storm +11.5 (-113)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 60.2%
- WNBA Matchup: Storm vs. Dream (8:00PM ET)
A 7.2% edge and 60.2% probability makes Storm +11.5 vs. Dream a value play in the Storm vs. Dream matchup, per our model.
WNBA: Aces vs. Fire Under 175.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 59.3%
- WNBA Matchup: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Aces vs. Fire Under 175.5 points at -110 odds presents a 6.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.3%.
SWC: Morocco vs. France BTTS: No (-118)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 59.1%
- SWC Matchup: Morocco vs. France (4:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on both Morocco and France to score (No) at -118 odds, supported by an edge of 5.0%.
World Cup: Morocco vs. France Under 2.5 goals (-113)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 57.8%
- World Cup Matchup: Morocco vs. France (4:00PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Morocco vs. France Under 2.5 goals at -113 odds. A 57.8% probability produces a 4.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's World Cup action.
WNBA: Fire +8.5 (-106)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 56.1%
- WNBA Matchup: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
A 4.6% edge on a 56.1% probability makes Fire +8.5 at -106 odds a solid value play in today's Aces vs. Fire matchup.
WNBA: Mercury ML (-104)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 55.4%
- WNBA Matchup: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects value on Mercury to win at -104 odds. A 55.4% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making Mercury the favorable ML play in today's WNBA matchup.
WNBA: Storm ML (+470)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 21.6%
- WNBA Matchup: Storm vs. Dream (8:00PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Storm to defeat Dream at +470 odds shows a 21.6% probability and a 4.0% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 7/9/2026
As of 2:53AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever vs. Mercury (WNBA) | Under 174.5 points | -110 @ DraftKings | 10.4% | 62.8% |
| Angels vs. Rangers (MLB) | Over 7.5 runs | +127 @ Polymarket | 7.7% | 51.7% |
| Storm vs. Dream (WNBA) | Under 168.5 Points | -105 @ BetMGM | 7.3% | 58.5% |
| Storm vs. Dream (WNBA) | Storm +11.5 vs. Dream | -113 @ Novig | 7.2% | 60.2% |
| Aces vs. Fire (WNBA) | Under 175.5 Points | -110 @ Fanatics | 6.9% | 59.3% |
| Morocco vs. France (SWC) | **** | -118 @ FanDuel | 5.0% | 59.1% |
| Morocco vs. France (World Cup) | Under 2.5 Goals | -113 @ Novig | 4.7% | 57.8% |
| Aces vs. Fire (WNBA) | Fire +8.5 | -106 @ FanDuel | 4.6% | 56.1% |
| Fever vs. Mercury (WNBA) | Mercury ML | -104 @ Novig | 4.5% | 55.4% |
| Storm vs. Dream (WNBA) | Storm ML | +470 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 21.6% |
List of upcoming sports to bet on right now [7/9/2026]
- AFL: Swans vs. Dockers (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova (8:30AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Linda Noskova vs. Marta Kostyuk (9:40AM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Braves vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Royals vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Cubs vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Guardians vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Red Sox vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Thursday)
- SWC: Morocco vs. France (4:00PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Athletics vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for July 9, 2026, featuring plays such as under 174.5 points in the Fever vs. Mercury matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Angels vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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