Best bets today for all sports: Presidents' Day picks include Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central men's college basketball play [2/16/2026]

Men's College Basketball: Morgan State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Men's College Basketball matchup: Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Morgan State +3.5 at -102 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 7.9%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Kimberly Birrell +6.5 games (+112)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Tennis matchup: Elena Rybakina vs. Kimberly Birrell (10:00AM ET, Tuesday)

At WTA Dubai, Kimberly Birrell +6.5 games carries a 7.6% edge and a probability of 54.7% at +112 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Kimberly Birrell vs. Elena Rybakina over 17.5 total games (-116)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Tennis Matchup: Elena Rybakina vs. Kimberly Birrell (10:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Kimberly Birrell vs. Elena Rybakina over 17.5 total games at -116 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 59.5% probability in simulations of the WTA Dubai match.

Men's College Basketball: Texas A&M-CC +5.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC (8:00PM ET, Monday)

A 5.8% edge and 57.7% probability make Texas A&M-CC +5.5 vs. Stephen F. Austin at a value play in the Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC matchup, per our model.

Tennis: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Zizou Bergs under 25.5 total points (-120)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Tennis Matchup: Zizou Bergs vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (5:30AM ET, Tuesday)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Zizou Bergs under 25.5 total points at -120 odds presents a 5.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.9%.

Men's College Basketball: Louisiana-Lafayette +5.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Old Dominion (5:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Louisiana-Lafayette +5.5 at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Men's College Basketball: Syracuse vs. Duke over 142.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 57%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Syracuse vs. Duke (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Syracuse vs. Duke over 142.5 points at -110 odds. A 57% probability produces a 4.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Tennis: Marton Fucsovics -4.5 (-118)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Tennis Matchup: Marton Fucsovics vs. Hady Habib (5:30AM ET, Tuesday)

A 4.6% edge on a 58.8% probability makes Marton Fucsovics -4.5 at -118 odds a solid value play in this ATP Doha matchup.

Tennis: Jenson Brooksby ML (+155)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 42.5%
• Tennis Matchup: Jiri Lehecka vs. Jenson Brooksby (5:30AM ET, Tuesday)

Our model projects value on Jenson Brooksby to win at +155 odds. A 42.5% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making Jenson Brooksby the favorable ML play in Saturday’s ATP Doha tennis matchup.

Men's College Basketball: Iowa State ML (-144)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Syracuse vs. Duke (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Iowa State to defeat Houston at -144 odds shows a 62.8% probability and a 3.8% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Monday, 2/16/2026

As of 11:33AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central (Men's College Basketball)	Morgan State +3.5	-102 @ BetMGM	7.9%	58.4%
Rybakina vs. Birrell (Tennis)	Kimberly Birrell +6.5 Games	+112 @ FanDuel	7.6%	54.7%
Rybakina vs. Birrell (Tennis)	Over 17.5 Total Games	-116 @ FanDuel	5.8%	59.5%
Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC (Men's College Basketball)	Texas A&M-CC +5.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.8%	57.7%
Bergs vs. Perricard (Tennis)	Under 25.5 Total Games	-120 @ FanDuel	5.4%	59.9%
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Old Dominion (Men's College Basketball)	Louisiana-Lafayette +5.5	-102 @ FanDuel	4.7%	55.2%
Syracuse vs. Duke (Men's College Basketball)	Over 142.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	4.7%	57%
Fucsovics vs. Habib (Tennis)	Marton Fucsovics -4.5	-118 @ FanDuel	4.6%	58.8%
Lehecka vs. Brooksby (Tennis)	Jenson Brooksby ML	+155 @ FanDuel	3.8%	42.5%
Houston vs. Iowa State (Men's College Basketball)	Iowa State ML	-144 @ FanDuel	3.8%	62.8%

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [2/16/2026]

• NCAAW: Iowa vs. Nebraska (12:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Coleman Wong vs. Nuno Borges (12:10PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Terence Atmane vs. Patrick Kypson (1:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAW: Utah vs. Oklahoma State (2:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Alex Michelsen vs. Valentin Vacherot (2:30PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Thiago Tirante vs. Cristian Garin (2:30PM ET, Monday)
• La Liga: Barcelona vs. Girona (3:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Emilio Nava vs. Alejandro Tabilo (3:40PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Daniel Altmaier vs. Dusan Lajovic (4:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAW: Richmond vs. George Mason (4:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for February 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Morgan State +3.5 and Kimberly Birrell +6.5 games. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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