Best bets today for all sports: Friday's picks include Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone tennis play [5/22/2026]

Tennis: Casper Ruud +6.5 games (-104)

• Edge: 48.1%
• Probability: 99.1%
• Tennis matchup: Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone (8:00AM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Casper Ruud +6.5 games at -104 odds in their matchup at ATP Geneva Open. A 99.1% probability produces an edge of 48.1%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Mariano Navone vs. Casper Ruud under 34.5 total games (-118)

• Edge: 41.8%
• Probability: 96%
• WNBA matchup: Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone (8:00AM ET, Friday)

At ATP Geneva Open, Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone under 34.5 total games carries a 41.8% edge and a probability of 96% at -118 odds, according to our model.

WNBA: Wings vs. Dream over 172.5 points (+107)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 57.2%
• WNBA Matchup: Wings vs. Dream (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Wings vs. Dream over 172.5 points at +107 odds shows a 8.9% edge, supported by a 57.2% probability in simulations.

MLB: Astros vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 54.7%
• MLB Matchup: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)

An 8.2% edge and 54.7% probability make Astros vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs at a value play in the Astros vs. Cubs matchup, per our model.

MLB: Twins vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 58%
• MLB Matchup: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)

Twins vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs at +100 odds presents a 8.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58%.

MLB: White Sox vs. Giants over 7.5 runs (+122)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 51.6%
• MLB Matchup: White Sox vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on over 7.5 runs in White Sox vs. Giants at +122 odds, supported by an edge of 6.6%.

NRL: Warriors vs. Dragons under 50.5 points (-112)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.5%
• NRL Matchup: Warriors vs. Dragons (3:30AM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Warriors vs. Dragons under 50.5 points at -112 odds. A 58.5% probability produces a 6.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NRL action.

MLB: Dodgers vs. Brewers over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 55.4%
• MLB Matchup: Dodgers vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Friday)

A 5.9% edge on a 55.4% probability makes over 8.5 runs at +102 odds a solid value play in today's Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup.

MLB: Tigers vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 54.9%
• MLB Matchup: Tigers vs. Orioles (7:15PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on over 8.5 runs at +102 odds. A 54.9% probability produces a 5.4% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s MLB matchup.

WNBA: Fever ML (-228)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 74.8%
• WNBA Matchup: Valkyries vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Fever to defeat Valkyries at -228 odds shows a 74.8% probability and a 5.3% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Friday, 5/22/2026

As of 6:04AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming matchups to bet on right now [5/22/2026]

• AFL: Saints vs. Dockers (6:30AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Anhelina Kalinina vs. Panna Udvardy (8:00AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Mariano Navone vs. Casper Ruud (8:00AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Petra Marcinko vs. Jil Teichmann (9:10AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Ignacio Buse vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (9:30AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Alexander Bublik vs. Learner Tien (9:30AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Jaqueline Cristian vs. Victoria Mboko (10:30AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Tommy Paul vs. Alex de Minaur (11:30AM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Guardians vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for May 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Casper Ruud +6.5 games and under 34.5 total games also in the Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.