Jul 12, 2026
Best bets today for all sports: Sunday's picks include Fever vs. Aces WNBA play [7/12/2026]
Read Article Best bets today for all sports: Friday's picks include Sparks vs. Aces WNBA play [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Friday, May 22, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for May 22, 2026 are here, with Sparks vs. Aces and Lynx vs. Sky in the WNBA among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [5/22, updated 10:39PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Friday, May 22, 2026.
WNBA: Sparks vs. Aces under 182.5 points (-104)
- Edge: 19.5%
- Probability: 70.5%
- WNBA matchup: Sparks vs. Aces (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
Our model has identified value on under 182.5 points in Sparks vs. Aces at -104 odds. A 70.5% probability produces an edge of 19.5%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
WNBA: Sky +2.5 (-106)
- Edge: 13.4%
- Probability: 64.9%
- WNBA matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
Sky +2.5 carries a 13.4% edge and a probability of 64.9% at -106 odds, according to our model.
WNBA: Sky ML (+122)
- Edge: 12.4%
- Probability: 57.4%
- WNBA Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
Sky ML at +122 odds shows a 12.4% edge, supported by a 57.4% probability in simulations.
MLB: Rays vs. Yankees over 4.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 11.8%
- Probability: 61.8%
- MLB Matchup: Rays vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Saturday)
An 11.8% edge and 61.8% probability make Rays vs. Yankees over 4.5 runs at a value play in the Rays vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.
WNBA: Fire vs. Tempo under 175.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 62.3%
- WNBA Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
Fire vs. Tempo under 175.5 points at -105 odds presents a 11.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 62.3%.
WNBA: Tempo ML (-208)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 74%
- WNBA Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
Our model finds value on Tempo to win at -208 odds, supported by an edge of 6.4%.
WNBA: Tempo -5.5 (+105)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 55%
- WNBA Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
Our model has uncovered value on Tempo -5.5 at +105 odds. A 55% probability produces a 6.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
NRL: Warriors vs. Dragons under 50.5 points (-112)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 58.4%
- NRL Matchup: Warriors vs. Dragons (3:30AM ET, Saturday)
A 6.1% edge on a 58.4% probability makes under 50.5 points at -112 odds a solid value play in today's Warriors vs. Dragons matchup.
AFL: Giants +11.5 (-105)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 56.9%
- AFL Matchup: Lions vs. Giants (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
Our model projects value on Giants +11.5 at -105 odds. A 56.9% probability produces a 5.6% edge, making Giants the favorable side in Saturday’s AFL matchup.
MLB: Astros vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 55.5%
- MLB Matchup: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Saturday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Astros vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs at +100 odds shows a 55.5% probability and a 5.5% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Friday, 5/22/2026
As of 10:39PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparks vs. Aces (WNBA) | Under 182.5 Points | -104 @ Polymarket | 19.5% | 70.5% |
| Lynx vs. Sky (WNBA) | Sky +2.5 | -106 @ Polymarket | 13.4% | 64.9% |
| Lynx vs. Sky (WNBA) | Sky ML | +122 @ Polymarket | 12.4% | 57.4% |
| Rays vs. Yankees (MLB) | Over 4.5 Runs | +100 @ Polymarket | 11.8% | 61.8% |
| Fire vs. Tempo (WNBA) | Under 175.5 Points | -105 @ DraftKings | 11.1% | 62.3% |
| Fire vs. Tempo (WNBA) | Tempo ML | -208 @ espnbet | 6.4% | 74% |
| Fire vs. Tempo (WNBA) | Tempo -5.5 | +105 @ Novig | 6.2% | 55% |
| Warriors vs. Dragons (NRL) | Under 50.5 Points | -112 @ BetRivers | 6.1% | 58.4% |
| Lions vs. Giants (AFL) | Giants +11.5 | -105 @ DraftKings | 5.6% | 56.9% |
| Astros vs. Cubs (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | +100 @ espnbet | 5.5% | 55.5% |
List of upcoming events to bet on right now [5/22/2026]
- AFL: Suns vs. Kangaroos (11:15PM ET, Friday)
- AFL: Swans vs. Cats (2:15AM ET, Saturday)
- AFL: Eagles vs. Magpies (2:35AM ET, Saturday)
- NRL: Warriors vs. Dragons (3:30AM ET, Saturday)
- AFL: Blues vs. Power (5:35AM ET, Saturday)
- NRL: Titans vs. Sea Eagles (5:35AM ET, Saturday)
- Tennis: Emma Navarro vs. Victoria Mboko (8:00AM ET, Saturday)
- Tennis: Petra Marcinko vs. Anhelina Kalinina (8:00AM ET, Saturday)
- Tennis: Tommy Paul vs. Ignacio Buse (8:30AM ET, Saturday)
- Tennis: Learner Tien vs. Mariano Navone (9:00AM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for May 22, 2026, featuring plays such as under 182.5 points in the Sparks vs. Aces matchup and Sky +2.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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