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Ben Shelton vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Auckland Open 2026
Get Shelton vs Baez predictions for ATP Auckland Open.

Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez are scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Auckland Open event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Ben Shelton as the most likely winner of the Shelton vs. Baez match.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Shelton vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Shelton-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Shelton a 73% chance of beating Baez at the ATP Auckland Open tournament.
Additionally, Shelton has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baez (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over/under of 22.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Ben Shelton vs. Sebastian Baez odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -334 | +280 |
| First Set | -250 | +200 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-102) | -3.5 (-132) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-108) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Shelton vs. Baez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | +280 |
| First Set | Baez | -108 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Sebastian Baez to win.
Shelton vs. Baez updates and essential details
The ATP Auckland Open match between Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Ben Shelton vs. Sebastian Baez
- Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Auckland, New Zealand Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Ben Shelton, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Auckland Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Shelton vs. Baez insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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