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Ben Shelton vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Auckland Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Shelton vs Baez predictions for ATP Auckland Open.

Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Tennis Prediction.
Our Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez are scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Auckland Open event on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Ben Shelton as the most likely winner of the Shelton vs. Baez match.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Shelton vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Shelton-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Shelton a 73% chance of beating Baez at the ATP Auckland Open tournament.

Additionally, Shelton has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baez (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over/under of 22.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Ben Shelton vs. Sebastian Baez odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Shelton Baez
Moneyline -334 +280
First Set -250 +200
Game Spread +3.5 (-102) -3.5 (-132)
Total Games o22.5 (-108) u22.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Shelton vs. Baez picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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