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Hawks vs. Raptors prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [1/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Monday.
The Toronto Raptors will take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Raptors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Hawks and Raptors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Raptors a 60% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 119-116.
According to our model, the Raptors (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Raptors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -135 |
| Total | o237.5 (-105) | u237.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Raptors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors -2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -135 |
| Total | Under 237.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors to win.
Hawks vs. Raptors player props
Betting on Hawks vs. Raptors NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 23 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 24 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Raptors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 56 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 19 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 37 |
| Z. Risacher | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 44 |
| Scottie Barnes | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 50 |
| RJ Barrett | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
| I. Quickley | 18 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 38 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
Hawks vs. Raptors game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Raptors and Hawks at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Monday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Raptors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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