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Athletics vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Athletics vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Saturday.
MLB action continues on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET as the A's take on the New York Mets at Citi Field.
The Mets will have Kodai Senga (0-1, 3.09 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Athletics have opted for Jacob Lopez (0-1, 6.48 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Athletics vs. Mets game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
A's vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Athletics and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 60% chance of beating the Athletics.
According to our model, the Athletics (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56% chance of going over.
Athletics vs. Mets odds [4/11/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Athletics | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-154) | -1.5 (+140) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -160 |
| Total | o7.5 (-115) | u7.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Athletics vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +140 |
| Moneyline | Athletics | +140 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -115 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
A's vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and Athletics at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Athletics vs. New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Athletics in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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