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Aston Villa vs. Sunderland prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Aston Villa vs Sunderland predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Aston Villa will square off with Sunderland in Premier League action at Villa Park on Sunday, commencing at 9:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Sunderland game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Aston Villa vs. Sunderland prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Sunderland, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 54.4% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 21.6% chance for Sunderland, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Aston Villa vs. Sunderland odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -130 | +410 | +265 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Sunderland picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland | +410 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sunderland to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aston Villa vs. Sunderland: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Aston Villa win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AVL 1-0 Sunderland | 11.6% |
| AVL 1-1 Sunderland | 11.4% |
| AVL 2-0 Sunderland | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.1% chance of both Aston Villa and Sunderland finding the net and a 48.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Aston Villa vs. Sunderland game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Aston Villa and Sunderland at Villa Park is scheduled to commence in the USA at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Sunderland
- Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 54.4% win probability on Sunday, Sunderland has a 21.6% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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